First of all, let’s specify what this article is NOT about. This is NOT a diss on Joe Burrow. Joe Burrow has proven this season that he is an upper-echelon starting quarterback in the NFL. I have him ranked as a Top-5 fantasy quarterback in dynasty and for the 2022 season as well. The Bengals look legit. This is not me de-valuing anything about them in any way. This is me saying that by the numbers, now is likely the best time ever to trade Joe Burrow in dynasty fantasy football. Burrow is entering the Super Bowl in his second season in the NFL, which is incredibly impressive. Could the Bengals win the super bowl and Joey B. win MVP and raise his value even higher? Yes. That could happen. I just don’t see that happening. This Super Bowl screams blowout to me, and it isn’t in the Bengals favor. The Bengals defense is nowhere near the caliber of the 49ers, who just lost to the Rams this past week. The Bengals O-line is decent, but not great, allowing 4 sacks to the Chiefs’ not-so-great pass rush last week. Matching up against the likes of Aaron Donald, Von Miller, Leonard Floyd and company is going to be a CHALLENGE for the Bengals. It reminds me of a specific recent Super Bowl…. Last year with Mahomes matching up against the brutal Tampa Bay pass rush. With the exception of him SHOWING UP against the Bills, Mahomes looked like he lacked confidence this season. While he did not drop in fantasy rankings (QB4 both in 2020 and 2021), he did drop from 25 FPPG to 21. Still a respectable fantasy season, but lower. More importantly, losing in the Super Bowl, combined with getting destroyed with sacks really shook his confidence. I foresee the same exact thing happening with Joey B. this coming season. As I stated earlier, I still have him finishing in the top 5 next year for fantasy, and being good for quite some time. However, I think currently people are valuing him as THE top QB in all of fantasy and as one of the highest valued players in all of fantasy right now. Will you be able to get Jonathon Taylor for him? No. However, you might be able to acquire a young position player in return that would be FAR better value in the future. Joe Burrow has never really lost ‘the big game’ in his life, and I think losing on the game’s biggest stage would REALLY shake his confidence. It’s a hot take and I know it, but it’s my take. For the record, I hope I’m wrong. I like Joe Burrow a lot. This is just what I envision happening.
If you enjoyed this article, please consider subscribing to be notified of new articles!
AlexanderJonesi, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons
Leave a Reply